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Mutuel field heavy favorite in Kentucky Derby Future Wager

Horseracing Betting Lines

02/12/2012 - Louisville, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first of three Kentucky Derby Future Wagers for the 2012 Run for the Roses closed Sunday night with the mutuel field being a heavy favorite. The top single three-year-old was Union Rags.

The Future Wager, comprised of 23 individual three-year-olds plus the mutuel field, began Friday at noon (et) and concluded Sunday at 6 p.m. (et).

The mutuel field opened as the 9-5 morning-line favorite and was bet down to 3-2 when the wagering concluded. The mutuel field includes all three-year-olds not listed in the pool.

Union Rags closed at 7-1 after opening at 10-1. The colt is expected to make his 2012 debut at Gulfstream Park in the Fountain of Youth Stakes on February 26. He was undefeated heading into last November's Breeders' Cup Juvenile at Churchill Downs. He finished second, a head behind Hansen.

Algorithms, winner of the Holy Bull Stakes, was the third choice at 12-1. He opened as the top individual three-year-old at odds of 8-1.

Eclipse Award winner Hansen was 12-1 in the opening odds and closed at 26-1.

Here is the complete list of the 24 betting interests for the first Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

Number Wagering Interest Morning line odds Final odds:

1. Algorithms 8-1 12-1

2. Alpha 20-1 19-1

3. Battle Hardened 30-1 46-1

4. Creative Cause 20-1 17-1

5. Discreet Dancer 15-1 30-1

6. Dullahan 20-1 40-1

7. El Padrino 20-1 16-1

8. Empire Way 50-1 33-1

9. Ever So Lucky 20-1 55-1

10. Fed Biz 20-1 21-1

11. Gemologist 20-1 22-1

12. Hansen 12-1 26-1

13. I'll Have Another 20-1 29-1

14. Junebugred 50-1 58-1

15. Liaison 20-1 56-1

16. Longview Drive 50-1 99-1

17. Midnight Transfer 50-1 67-1

18. Mr. Bowling 50-1 85-1

19. Out of Bounds 20-1 23-1

20. Rousing Sermon 30-1 71-1

21. Sabercat 30-1 34-1

22. Take Charge Indy 30-1 42-1

23. Union Rags 10-1 7-1

24. All Other 3YOs (field) 9-5 3-2

The remaining two Future Wagers will be held March 2-4 and March 30-April 1.

The 138th Kentucky Derby will be conducted on Saturday, May 5 at Churchill Downs.

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Big Ten Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa

Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.

Should be in:

Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?

Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.

Work left to do:

Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.

Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.

Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.

Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

Additional sports lines can be found at: www.Sportsbooks.com

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